Adaptive Markets Hypothesis and Market Outlook - Isaac Fang CFA

Adaptive Markets Hypothesis and Market Outlook

Adaptive Markets Hypothesis acknowledges dynamic markets which Isaac fully subscribes to. Some background to its implications, coupled with varied approaches to the market, provide context that drives Isaac’s market outlook, views and opinions.

Disclaimer

This market outlook is not to be misconstrued as a recommendation to act whatsoever. There is a moral hazard in protecting people from the consequences of their actions. Kindly take responsibility for your own actions because nobody is holding a knife against you and making you do something against your wishes.

Attribution

Material has been extracted from all over including Bloomberg, Reuters, TradingView and other financial websites. The choice selection of information has been assembled in Mosiac fashion.

Isaac's Market Outlook | Views | Opinions

Rate hike last week was expected but it was the language of the speech by Powell dismissing any rate cut this year that many were disappointed about.

The most catalytic event this week has to be the FED’s preferred measure of inflation coming out on Friday – Core PCE price index.

European stocks rallied in early deals on Monday, as calm descended on markets following a turbulent week for banking shares that was fuelled by worries about stability in the sector after the collapse of Credit Suisse and Silicon Valley Bank.

China Industrial Production profits fell as factories had yet to fully recover from a Covid-induced slump and prices continued to decline.

IMF chief warns risks to financial stability have increased. Not surprising now all eyes are on Deutsche bank.

Russia has decided not to deal using USD and Chinese Yuan benefits from this.

Make your own play.

Adaptive Markets Hypothesis and Portfolio Management

Adaptive Markets Hypothesis Asset Class Returns by year. Image credit to Novel Investor.
Image Credit to Novel Investor. Clearly Different Periods favor Different Asset Classes and Approaches.
Portfolio Management Process according to CFA institute
Observe 2 loops within the Investment Portfolio Management Process according to the CFA Institute. Upper loop involves the investor nuances. Bottom loop involves the market. They are to be combined.

Approaches and Manner of Expression

Manner of Expressing Investment View
Adaptive Markets Hypothesis Different Styles and Approaches to Investment

Isaac Fang CFA offers Discretionary Portfolio Management

PhillipManagedAccount 244 _1 Adaptive Market Hypothesis
PhillipManagedAccount 244 _2 Adaptive Market Hypothesis
PhillipManagedAccount 244 _3 Adaptive Market Hypothesis
PhillipManagedAccount 244 _4 Adaptive Market Hypothesis
PhillipManagedAccount 244 _5 Adaptive Market Hypothesis

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